Mickleover Sports 1-3 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.52/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.45
-7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mickleover Sports
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.01.2023 Mickleover Sports 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-3 HT 0-2 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town got the better of Mickleover Sports 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ilkeston Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mickleover Sports had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mickleover Sports and 1.50 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs Ilkeston Town?

Mickleover Sports 1-3 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 38%, draw 28%, Ilkeston Town 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mickleover Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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