Spalding United 1-1 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.52/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.21
+14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kettering Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
21.09.2021 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Spalding United Spalding United FAK
18.09.2021 Spalding United Spalding United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spalding United
1-1
AWAY Kettering Town
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United and Kettering Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kettering Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Spalding United had 43% of the ball to Kettering Town's 57%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kettering Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spalding United and 2.33 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Kettering Town?

Spalding United 1-1 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 27%, draw 24%, Kettering Town 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kettering Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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