Alvechurch 1-1 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch and Harborough Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Harborough Town?

Alvechurch 1-1 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 38%, draw 30%, Harborough Town 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alvechurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ BTTS Yes
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