13/08/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Alvechurch vs Harborough Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
30%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
34%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
41%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvechurch v Harborough Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alvechurch
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Harborough Town
EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+5%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
397 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
347 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Alvechurch vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alvechurch and Harborough Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Harborough Town?
Alvechurch 1-1 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Harborough Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 38%, draw 30%, Harborough Town 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alvechurch) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Alvechurch)
✓ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
13 Aug 2024