Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Nov 2025

Atletico Madrid
3-1 HT 1-1
Levante
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Atletico Madrid vs Levante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.27
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.67
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.4
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
23.55
X/1
27%
3.91
X/2
5%
23.1
X/X
5%
9.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.45
2/2
4%
19.35
2/X
4%
27.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.4pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.3pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Levante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
2.11/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.18
+2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
482 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.1 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atletico Madrid vs Levante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Levante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
427 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.01.2023 Levante Levante 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İSPK
16.02.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-1 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS1
28.10.2021 Levante Levante 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
20.02.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-2 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS1
17.02.2021 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
23.06.2020 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
3-1
AWAY Levante
2.92 xG 1.06
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
21 Corners 4
559 Passes 151
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
60 Box Touches 13
40 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid beat Levante 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 74% of the ball to Levante's 26%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.92 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.00 for Levante.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Levante?

Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 74%, draw 14%, Levante 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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