Sevilla 1-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
18%
5.19
X/2
9%
6.85
X/X
17%
4.23
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.98
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.12
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.1 Crosses 19.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
02.12.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
23.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
26.02.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
26.01.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-0
AWAY Osasuna
1.70 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
255 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla squeezed past Osasuna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sevilla had 47% of the ball to Osasuna's 53%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.70 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sevilla and 1.33 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Sevilla 1-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 40%, draw 33%, Osasuna 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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