Osasuna 1-0 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.31
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.91
X/2
12%
6.8
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
10%
5.49
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.49
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.4 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sevilla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
233 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
23.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
26.02.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
26.01.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
12.08.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-0
AWAY Sevilla
0.34 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
431 Passes 290
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna edged past Sevilla 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Osasuna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Osasuna had 58% of the ball to Sevilla's 42%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.34 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sevilla.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osasuna and 1.00 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Sevilla?

Osasuna 1-0 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 40%, draw 29%, Sevilla 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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