Leganes 1-1 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Apr 2025

Leganes
1-1 HT 0-0
Girona
📅24/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Leganes vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.73
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
14%
6.63
X/2
16%
5.43
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.45
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.06/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.16
-26% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
15.8 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Leganes vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Girona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 326
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Girona Girona 4-3 HT 2-2 Leganes Leganes İS1
27.02.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS2
06.12.2021 Girona Girona 3-0 HT 2-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
07.02.2021 Girona Girona 0-2 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
11.10.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS2
16.03.2019 Leganes Leganes 0-2 HT 0-2 Girona Girona İS1

Leganes 1-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
1-1
AWAY Girona
0.35 xG 0.56
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 480
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes and Girona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Leganes had 32% of the ball to Girona's 68%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.35 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 1.83 for Girona.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Girona?

Leganes 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leganes 33%, draw 29%, Girona 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Girona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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