Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-7
HT 0-3
Atletico Madrid
İS1
1-2
HT 0-2
Atletico Madrid
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
Atletico Madrid 3-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid cruised past Rayo Vallecano 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atletico Madrid had 42% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.29 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.67 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Atletico Madrid 3-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 56%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.