Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Girona
İS1
Girona 1-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Girona nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Girona had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 48%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.86 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Alaves.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Girona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Girona 1-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Girona 43%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alaves 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.