Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Girona
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İSPK
Girona 0-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves squeezed past Girona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Alaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Girona had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 36%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.80 — on chances, Girona could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Girona and 1.00 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Girona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Girona 0-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Girona 38%, draw 32%, Deportivo Alaves 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.