Mallorca 1-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.12
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.8
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
14%
3.94
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
21%
4.0
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -34%
1.08/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.39
-13% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.3 Crosses 15.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 Passes 425
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
13.01.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
16.09.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
17.04.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
20.01.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
06.03.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4-3 HT 2-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-2
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.55 xG 0.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
310 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo squeezed past Mallorca 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 44% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.55 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mallorca and 1.17 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Celta Vigo?

Mallorca 1-2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 35%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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