Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Jan 2024

Mallorca
1-1 HT 1-1
Celta Vigo
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Mallorca vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
5.86
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.41
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
11%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
12%
6.14
X/X
13%
3.44
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
10%
5.12
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mallorca v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35
-23% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.1 Crosses 16.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mallorca vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 423
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
17.04.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
20.01.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
06.03.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4-3 HT 2-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
10.12.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
30.06.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 5-1 HT 3-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-1
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.82 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
326 Passes 247
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca and Celta Vigo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mallorca had 56% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 44%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.82 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mallorca and 0.83 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Celta Vigo?

Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 39%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mallorca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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