Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao edged past Real Sociedad 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Athletic Bilbao had 49% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 51%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.62 to 1.29.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.17 for Real Sociedad.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 46%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.