Real Betis 1-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
13%
3.91
X/2
8%
9.25
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
13%
7.36
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.83/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.66
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.5 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Granada
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 1.23
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
443 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
15.05.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 2-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
13.09.2021 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
10.05.2021 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
20.12.2020 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
15.06.2020 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-0
AWAY Granada
1.80 xG 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
363 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Granada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Betis had 57% of the ball to Granada's 43%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Betis and 1.17 for Granada.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Granada?

Real Betis 1-0 Granada in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 48%, draw 26%, Granada 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
13 Jan 2024
16:00 Las Palmas vs Villarreal Analysis →
18:15 Mallorca vs Celta Vigo Analysis →
20:30 Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Analysis →