USM Khenchela 1-0 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.96
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.18
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.39/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/0.79
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +63%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mostaganem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2025 Mostaganem Mostaganem 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
06.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela squeezed past Mostaganem 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.00 for Mostaganem.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Mostaganem?

USM Khenchela 1-0 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 58%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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