Holbaek 4-1 Vanlose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanlose EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
2.47/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.87
+38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vanlose
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Vanlose Vanlose 1-3 HT 0-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
06.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 0-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
18.08.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 1-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Vanlose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek cruised past Vanlose 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Holbaek and 1.33 for Vanlose.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Vanlose?

Holbaek 4-1 Vanlose in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Vanlose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 54%, draw 23%, Vanlose 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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