Lilleström 3-0 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.46
Over 2.5
61%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.1
2-3 Goals
37%
2.34
4-5 Goals
27%
2.3
6+ Goals
17%
3.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.9pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.0pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
25%
+13.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
75%
-13.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.62/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.51
+12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stabaek
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.03 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2025 Stabaek Stabaek 0-3 HT 0-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
23.03.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström HAZ
08.10.2023 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
04.06.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
27.10.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
21.07.2021 Stabaek Stabaek 2-3 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
3-0
AWAY Stabaek
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström swept aside Stabaek 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Lilleström had 63% of the ball to Stabaek's 37%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lilleström and 0.67 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Stabaek?

Lilleström 3-0 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 70%, draw 18%, Stabaek 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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