Stabaek 0-3 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

Stabaek
0-3 HT 0-2
Lilleström
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Stabaek vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stabaek v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 45%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.44/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.61
+70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards –

Stabaek vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lilleström
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström HAZ
08.10.2023 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
04.06.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
27.10.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
21.07.2021 Stabaek Stabaek 2-3 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
10.11.2019 Lilleström Lilleström 1-3 HT 0-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR

Stabaek 0-3 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
0-3
AWAY Lilleström
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström cruised past Stabaek 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lilleström found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stabaek had 34% of the ball to Lilleström's 66%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stabaek and 1.83 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Lilleström?

Stabaek 0-3 Lilleström in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 39%, draw 24%, Lilleström 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stabaek), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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