Stabaek 0-1 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 37%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.79/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+16% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lilleström
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.23 xG 1.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
04.06.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
27.10.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
21.07.2021 Stabaek Stabaek 2-3 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
10.11.2019 Lilleström Lilleström 1-3 HT 0-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
01.04.2019 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
0-1
AWAY Lilleström
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström edged past Stabaek 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Lilleström made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Stabaek had 45% of the ball to Lilleström's 55%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stabaek and 1.83 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Lilleström?

Stabaek 0-1 Lilleström in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 41%, draw 23%, Lilleström 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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