Chaves vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chaves v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chaves 0-1 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Porto II edged past Chaves 1-0 on their travels.
File this under upsets: a 57% lean on Chaves went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in Chaves's favour, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.29 to 0.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chaves.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Chaves against 1.00 for Porto II.
Chaves vs Porto II Result & Final Score
Chaves 0-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chaves vs Porto II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chaves 57%, draw 22%, Porto II 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.