AS Ariana 1-1 Jendouba Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jendouba Sports EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.27/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.55
+11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +99%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Jendouba Sports
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 AS Ariana 0-1 Jendouba Sports Jendouba Sports TUN2
14.12.2024 Jendouba Sports Jendouba Sports 2-1 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
1-1
AWAY Jendouba Sports
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana and Jendouba Sports shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AS Ariana had 44% of the ball to Jendouba Sports's 56%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jendouba Sports led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AS Ariana and 1.50 for Jendouba Sports.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports?

AS Ariana 1-1 Jendouba Sports in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 39%, draw 31%, Jendouba Sports 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Ariana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5
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