Jendouba Sports 2-1 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jendouba Sports EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-21% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Jendouba Sports vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jendouba Sports nicked a narrow win over AS Ariana 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jendouba Sports as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Jendouba Sports vs AS Ariana?

Jendouba Sports 2-1 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jendouba Sports vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jendouba Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jendouba Sports 44%, draw 33%, AS Ariana 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jendouba Sports) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jendouba Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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