Oued Ellil 2-2 ES Rades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.81
No
63%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.2pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Ellil EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Rades EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.64/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.33
-60% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oued Ellil
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ES Rades
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2024 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Rades ES Rades TUN2
20.12.2022 ES Rades ES Rades 0-0 HT 0-0 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil TUN2
POST-MATCH Oued Ellil vs ES Rades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Ellil and ES Rades couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Oued Ellil at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oued Ellil had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oued Ellil and 0.00 for ES Rades.

What was the final score of Oued Ellil vs ES Rades?

Oued Ellil 2-2 ES Rades in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Ellil vs ES Rades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oued Ellil win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oued Ellil 52%, draw 29%, ES Rades 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oued Ellil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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