Moknine 0-1 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.0pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moknine EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.02/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.59
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +84%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moknine
1W-1D-0L
AWAY EM Mahdia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.03.2023 EM Mahdia 1-1 HT 1-1 Moknine TUN2
13.11.2022 Moknine 2-1 HT 0-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
POST-MATCH Moknine vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia edged past Moknine 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Moknine at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moknine had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moknine and 1.00 for EM Mahdia.

What was the final score of Moknine vs EM Mahdia?

Moknine 0-1 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moknine vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moknine win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Moknine 43%, draw 25%, EM Mahdia 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moknine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moknine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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