AS Ariana 0-1 Jendouba Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
27%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.5pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.1pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Jendouba Sports EU Bookmakers 45%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.60
-13% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +65%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jendouba Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.12.2024 Jendouba Sports Jendouba Sports 2-1 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
0-1
AWAY Jendouba Sports
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jendouba Sports squeezed past AS Ariana 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 34% / 37% — and on the day Jendouba Sports made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, AS Ariana had 55% of the ball to Jendouba Sports's 45%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports?

AS Ariana 0-1 Jendouba Sports in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jendouba Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 29%, draw 34%, Jendouba Sports 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jendouba Sports), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jendouba Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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