Sfax Railways 1-0 AS Agareb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.34
-7% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sfax Railways
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AS Agareb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.12.2024 AS Agareb AS Agareb 1-1 HT 0-0 Sfax Railways TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sfax Railways
1-0
AWAY AS Agareb
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sfax Railways vs AS Agareb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sfax Railways nicked a narrow win over AS Agareb 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sfax Railways as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Sfax Railways had 66% of the ball to AS Agareb's 34%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Sfax Railways vs AS Agareb?

Sfax Railways 1-0 AS Agareb in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sfax Railways vs AS Agareb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sfax Railways win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sfax Railways 54%, draw 28%, AS Agareb 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sfax Railways), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sfax Railways) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
27 Apr 2025
17:00 Korba vs AS Marsa Analysis →
17:00 Kalaa Sport vs Hammam-Sousse Analysis →
17:00 AS Ariana vs Jendouba Sports Analysis →
17:00 EM Mahdia vs Moknine Analysis →