Korba 0-2 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2025

Korba
0-2
AS Marsa
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Korba vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korba v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korba EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 40%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.45/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.69
+29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Korba vs AS Marsa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korba
0W-1D-2L
AWAY AS Marsa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.12.2024 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-0 Korba Korba TUN2
02.04.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 1-0 Korba Korba TUN2
19.11.2022 Korba Korba 1-1 HT 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN2
POST-MATCH Korba vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa saw off Korba 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Korba at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AS Marsa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Korba and 1.33 for AS Marsa.

What was the final score of Korba vs AS Marsa?

Korba 0-2 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korba vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Korba 42%, draw 28%, AS Marsa 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Korba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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