Alfaro 2-0 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfaro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.66
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
225 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Alfaro vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfaro saw off Zaragoza II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Alfaro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Alfaro vs Zaragoza II?

Alfaro 2-0 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 33%, draw 30%, Zaragoza II 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaragoza II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✓ Under 2.5
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