Mostoles 0-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.6pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -30%
0.93/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.16
-16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
0-1
AWAY Melilla
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla edged past Mostoles 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Melilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mostoles had 45% of the ball to Melilla's 55%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Melilla?

Mostoles 0-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostoles win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 35%, draw 30%, Melilla 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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