Colonia Moscardo 4-3 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.98
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
213 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
4-3
AWAY Atlético Paso
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo squeezed past Atlético Paso 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colonia Moscardo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 42% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 58%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Atlético Paso?

Colonia Moscardo 4-3 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 43%, draw 27%, Atlético Paso 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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