Illescas 2-1 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.88/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.03
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SS Reyes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Illescas 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
05.11.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 2-0 HT 0-0 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
2-1
AWAY SS Reyes
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Illescas vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illescas squeezed past SS Reyes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Illescas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Illescas had 49% of the ball to SS Reyes's 51%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SS Reyes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Illescas and 1.00 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Illescas vs SS Reyes?

Illescas 2-1 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Illescas 35%, draw 25%, SS Reyes 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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