Bergantinos 1-2 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.51
Over
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
36%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
0.85/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.39
-34% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2023 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
23.10.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 2-3 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
26.03.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.11.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco nicked a narrow win over Bergantinos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bergantinos had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bergantinos and 0.75 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco?

Bergantinos 1-2 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 44%, draw 26%, Marino De Luanco 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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