CD Coria 1-1 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.54
Over
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No Pick
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.92/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.96
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Cacereno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
11.01.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
13.02.2022 CD Coria CD Coria 1-3 HT 1-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
26.09.2021 Cacereno Cacereno 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
1-1
AWAY Cacereno
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria and Cacereno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, CD Coria had 51% of the ball to Cacereno's 49%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Coria and 1.75 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs Cacereno?

CD Coria 1-1 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Coria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 38%, draw 29%, Cacereno 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Coria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Coria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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