08/12/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Conquense vs Union Adarve Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
30%
Draw
32%
32%
Away Win
29%
60%
Under 2.5
64%
40%
Over 2.5
36%
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
57%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Conquense v Union Adarve — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Conquense
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Union Adarve
EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
+5%
1.20/1.23
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.97/1.17
-1%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-6%
/
-5%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
341 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
3.2
POST-MATCH
Conquense vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Conquense and Union Adarve couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Conquense vs Union Adarve?
Conquense 1-1 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Conquense vs Union Adarve?
Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Conquense 38%, draw 30%, Union Adarve 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Conquense), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Conquense)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
8 Dec 2024