Granada II 1-3 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.48
Over
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
42%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.2pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -27%
1.25/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.40
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2022 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
25.09.2021 Granada II Granada II 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada II
1-3
AWAY CD Aguilas
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Granada II vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas saw off Granada II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day CD Aguilas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Granada II had 63% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 37%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Granada II and 1.00 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of Granada II vs CD Aguilas?

Granada II 1-3 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada II vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Granada II 37%, draw 27%, CD Aguilas 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Granada II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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