Navalcarnero vs Talavera CF Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Navalcarnero v Talavera CF — Team-Based Signals
Navalcarnero vs Talavera CF Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Navalcarnero
İS4
4-0
HT 2-0
Talavera CF
İS4
0-2
HT 0-1
Talavera CF
İS3
1-1
HT 0-0
Navalcarnero
İS3
Navalcarnero 1-4 Talavera CF — Actual Match Statistics
Talavera CF cruised past Navalcarnero 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Talavera CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Navalcarnero had 57% of the ball to Talavera CF's 43%, shots finished 3-14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.60 for Talavera CF.
What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Talavera CF?
Navalcarnero 1-4 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Talavera CF?
Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 36%, draw 27%, Talavera CF 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.