Numancia vs Guijuelo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Numancia v Guijuelo — Team-Based Signals
Numancia 2-2 Guijuelo — Actual Match Statistics
Numancia and Guijuelo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Numancia had 65% of the ball to Guijuelo's 35%, shots finished 29-4.
What was the final score of Numancia vs Guijuelo?
Numancia 2-2 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Numancia vs Guijuelo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Numancia 44%, draw 32%, Guijuelo 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.