Real Avila 2-3 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.51
Over
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.22/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.14
-6% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II edged past Real Avila 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Avila at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Real Valladolid II?

Real Avila 2-3 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 42%, draw 26%, Real Valladolid II 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Avila) ✗ Under 2.5
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