Salamanca 3-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.99/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.01
-18% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
3-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca nicked a narrow win over RC Deportivo Fabril 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salamanca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Salamanca had 48% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Salamanca 3-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 41%, draw 25%, RC Deportivo Fabril 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salamanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salamanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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