UD Alzira 1-0 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.70
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Alzira
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Europa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Europa Europa 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
12.11.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 1-0 HT 1-0 Europa Europa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Alzira
1-0
AWAY Europa
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira edged past Europa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; UD Alzira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UD Alzira had 53% of the ball to Europa's 47%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Alzira had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UD Alzira and 0.00 for Europa.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Europa?

UD Alzira 1-0 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 31%, draw 30%, Europa 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Europa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
8 Dec 2024
00:00 Don Benito vs Xerez Deportivo Analysis →
13:30 Cornella vs Valencia II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Orihuela Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
14:00 Illescas vs SS Reyes Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Melilla Analysis →