UD San Fernando 1-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 31%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
0.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.73
-69% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
1-0
AWAY Estepona
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD San Fernando nicked a narrow win over Estepona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day UD San Fernando made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 48% of the ball to Estepona's 52%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Estepona?

UD San Fernando 1-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 38%, draw 28%, Estepona 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD San Fernando), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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