Xerez 1-0 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 19%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.67/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.24
-60% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-0
AWAY Villanovense
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez edged past Villanovense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Xerez had 48% of the ball to Villanovense's 52%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Villanovense?

Xerez 1-0 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Xerez 48%, draw 26%, Villanovense 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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