Hamburg 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Dec 2024

Hamburg
2-2 HT 2-1
Darmstadt 98
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.49
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
5.4
X/2
11%
9.07
X/X
13%
6.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.85
2/2
13%
5.65
2/X
7%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburg v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.03/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.1 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 2.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
398 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
19.08.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
06.02.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-5 HT 0-3 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
22.08.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
09.04.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
12.12.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2

Hamburg 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
2-2
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.69 xG 2.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
328 Passes 415
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg and Darmstadt 98 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamburg had 44% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 56%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 1.69 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hamburg and 1.33 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98?

Hamburg 2-2 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 43%, draw 26%, Darmstadt 98 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024
15:30 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig Analysis →
15:30 Jahn Regensburg vs Köln Analysis →