Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Dec 2024

Jahn Regensburg
0-1 HT 0-1
Köln
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.99
2-3 Goals
34%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
14%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 27% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.6
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
19.7
X/1
9%
13.65
X/2
21%
4.21
X/X
17%
6.68
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.06
2/X
5%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.67
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +148%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.6 Crosses 14.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Jahn Regensburg vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Köln
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.07 xG 2.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 366
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.07.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Köln Köln AFK
03.02.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Köln Köln AFK
12.05.2019 Köln Köln 3-5 HT 0-3 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
07.12.2018 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
31.03.2013 Köln Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
20.10.2012 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-3 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL2

Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-1
AWAY Köln
0.41 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 283
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 41% of the ball to Köln's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.41 to 1.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.50 for Köln.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Köln?

Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 19%, draw 27%, Köln 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024
15:30 Hamburg vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →
15:30 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig Analysis →