Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-0 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Dec 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
5-0 HT 3-0
Braunschweig
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 25% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
17%
4.71
X/2
9%
10.15
X/X
9%
5.62
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
9%
7.56
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.35
Value flag · 2/X at 16.35 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.80/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.76
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
24.1 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
456 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
27.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
24.02.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
20.08.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
08.05.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
11.01.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-0 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
5-0
AWAY Braunschweig
2.77 xG 1.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
526 Passes 316
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf ran out comfortable winners over Braunschweig 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 61% of the ball to Braunschweig's 39%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.77 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.00 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-0 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 51%, draw 25%, Braunschweig 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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