Sumqayıt 2-0 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

Sumqayıt
2-0 HT 2-0
Neftçi PFK
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.92/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.10
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
07.04.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
09.02.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERK
04.02.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 2-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
31.01.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-3 HT 0-3 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERK
11.11.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-2 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt saw off Neftçi PFK 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Neftçi PFK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.33 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK?

Sumqayıt 2-0 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 30%, draw 26%, Neftçi PFK 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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8 Dec 2024
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