Kapaz 0-4 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

Kapaz
0-4 HT 0-2
Zira
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.45/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.56
+33% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +109%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.09.2024 Zira Zira 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
16.03.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
21.10.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
12.08.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.05.2023 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira cruised past Kapaz 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kapaz and 1.33 for Zira.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Zira?

Kapaz 0-4 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 31%, draw 26%, Zira 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
8 Dec 2024
17:00 Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Analysis →