Zira 3-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

Zira
3-0 HT 1-0
Kapaz
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.78/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.53
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kapaz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
16.03.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
21.10.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
12.08.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.05.2023 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
10.03.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira swept aside Kapaz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zira and 0.50 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Zira vs Kapaz?

Zira 3-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zira 57%, draw 26%, Kapaz 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
28 Sep 2024
18:30 Neftçi PFK vs Sumqayıt Analysis →