Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.7pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.65
-44% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-2
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia edged past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Septemvri Sofia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 59% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 41%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 39%, draw 29%, Septemvri Sofia 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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