Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
26%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
67%
-20.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
12%
+14.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 14%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.76/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.07
+61% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-3 HT 1-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
10.03.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
16.09.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
07.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-0
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Botev Plovdiv 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 48% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 52%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 1.25 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 46%, draw 28%, Botev Plovdiv 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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